Each year, the footballguys.com staff is asked to choose undervalued players, overvalued players, and deep sleepers based on Average Draft Position. Clicking HERE will take you to a page with links to each article (still free at this time of year!)
Since every staffer is obviously oozing with fantasy knowledge (and gets to pick 3-5 players per position), each piece tends to be lengthy. So in this space, I’m providing a break down of how the votes played out (displaying any players who got three or more votes or were selected by me) and will share only the very compelling cases for certain players. I’ll also highlight the guys I voted for with BOLD print. Off we go…
Heath Cummings – Current ADP shows Griffin taken ahead of Jay Cutler, Ben Roethlisberger, Josh Freeman…all of whom will outproduce him in 2012. Don’t get me wrong, I still like Griffin better than Andrew Luck, I just think everyone is getting a little excited because of what Cam Newton did last year. That was an anomaly, not the norm to expect from athletic rookie quarterbacks in the future.
Cam Newton – 7 votes
Steve Holloway – Newton ranked as the #4 quarterback a year ago as a rookie even though he ranked 10th in passing yards. I expect that his rushing yards (709 yards) and TDs (14) will significantly decrease this year leading him to fall back in the rankings.
I have to interject here and disagree with my esteemed colleague – not because I think he’ll be wrong but because of the reasoning. Newton’s rushing numbers may well go down, but some maturation is to be expected as he enters his second season – and his first with mini-camps and OTA’s. A bigger – but less-used – knock on Newton is the fact that defenses adjusted to Carolina’s long-ball attack, and Newton’s passing numbers went down in the second half.
Continue reading the players footballguys.com staff thinks are overvalued